China Energy Transformation Outlook 2025 – Executive Summary / 中国能源转型展望2025 – 执行摘要
（中文介绍在下方）
China Energy Transformation Outlook 2025 (CETO 2025) consists of an executive summary and three main sections. The Executive Summary (this report) gives an overview of the report’s key findings and can be read independently.
How to read CETO 2025
Part 1 briefly analyses the global climate change and global energy transformation landscape (Chapter 1) and reviews recent changes in China’s energy production and consumption system (Chapter 2).
Part 2 presents a scenario-based analysis of China’s energy system transformation toward the 2060 carbon-neutrality target. It is primarily divided into four chapters. Chapter III summarizes the outlook for China’s energy system transformation, including scenario design and key conclusions; Chapter IV analyses the energy transformation pathways in end-use sectors, primarily covering industry, buildings, and transportation; Chapter 5 examines the energy transformation outlook for the power sector, focusing on the development prospects of renewable energy, grid expansion, and power system regulation capabilities; Chapter 6 evaluates the impacts of China’s energy transformation on its economic transformation and social development.
Part 3 primarily covers hot topics that have undergone significant changes in China in recent years and attracted widespread attention, divided into twelve chapters. Chapter 7 analyses how to enhance the secure and reliable substitution capacity of renewable energy; Chapter 8 explores the spatial planning and spatial element safeguards for new energy; Chapter 9 examines the current status and future prospects of electricity-heat-hydrogen coupling development in China and typical countries; Chapter 10 analyses the application of heat pump technology in the building sector in China and typical countries; Chapter 11 outlines China’s objectives, tasks, and roadmap for establishing zero-carbon industrial parks; Chapter 12 explores the development prospects of low-carbon and zero-carbon alternative fuels for transportation; Chapter 13 analyses key issues and international practices in advancing the coordinated development of green power and computing power in China; Chapter 14 investigates recycling pathways for new types of waste such as wind power, solar PV materials, and power batteries; Chapter 15 presents typical cases of China’s promotion of new business entities in the power sector; Chapter 16 summarizes international progress in leveraging green finance to enable low-carbon transitions; Chapter 17 analyses the achievements and future directions of Shanxi Province’s energy transformation through its comprehensive energy revolution pilot program; Chapter 18 introduces Yunnan Province’s exemplary practices in achieving comprehensive green transformation of economic and social development through its energy revolution. The analyses in Part III provide more robust policy, information, and technical support for the model construction and transition pathway analysis in Part 2.
Readers interested in model analysis may refer to Part 2 for a more comprehensive and in-depth understanding of the analytical processes and specific conclusions across key sectors. Those interested in hot topics may consult Part 3, where each chapter can be read independently.
We hope this report will help you better understand the latest developments in China’s energy transformation and discover new opportunities for enhanced cooperation. Enjoy your reading! We warmly welcome your feedback on the report’s content. Please send your comments to the following email address: ceto@cet.energy.
CETO 2025 – English executive summary
《中国能源转型展望2025》（CETO2025）- 执行摘要
《中国能源转型展望2025》执行摘要总结了报告的主要结论，是整个报告的精华，可单独阅读。
CETO 2024阅读指南
第一部分，简要分析了全球气候变化和全球能源转型形势（第一章），回顾了近几年中国能源生产和消费体系的新变化（第二章）。
第二部分，利用模型对2060年前实现碳中和的目标愿景下，中国能源系统的转型前景进行情景分析，主要分为四章。其中，第三章总结了中国能源系统转型的前景，包括情景设计和主要结论；第四章分析了终端用能部门的能源转型前景，主要包括工业、建筑、交通运输等；第五章分析了电力部门的能源转型前景，重点描绘了可再生能源、电网发展、电力系统调节能力的发展前景；第六章分析了中国能源转型对中国经济转型和社会发展的影响。
第三部分，主要包含近年在中国发生巨大变化，并受到各方关注的热点话题，主要分为十二章。其中，第七章分析了如何提升可再生能源安全可靠替代能力；第八章探讨了新能源的布局和空间要素保障；第九章分析了中国和典型国家电热氢耦合发展的现状和未来发展前景；第十章分析了中国和典型国家热泵技术在建筑领域的应用情况；第十一章描绘了中国建设零碳工业园区的目标、任务和路线图；第十二章探讨了低碳零碳交通替代燃料的发展前景；第十三章分析了中国推进绿色电力与算力协同发展的关键问题和国际实践；第十四章研究了风电、光伏、动力电池等新型废弃物循环利用路径；第十五章介绍了中国推动电力领域新型经营主体的典型案例；第十六章总结了绿色金融赋能低碳转型的国际进展；第十七章围绕山西省能源革命综合改革试点，分析了山西能源转型的成效和下一步的思路；第十八章介绍了云南省通过能源革命实现经济社会发展全面绿色转型的典型做法。第三部分的分析，为第二部分的模型构建和转型路径分析提供了更加充分的政策、信息和技术支持。
对模型分析感兴趣的读者，可以阅读《中国能源转型展望2025》的第二部分，更全面、深入地了解各重点部门的分析过程和具体结论。对热点话题感兴趣的读者，可以阅读《中国能源转型展望2025》第三部分，各章可以独立阅读。
期待您能通过本报告更好地了解中国能源转型的最新动态，发现加强合作的新机遇。祝您阅读愉快！ 我们非常欢迎您对报告内容提供反馈意见。请将您的意见发送到以下邮箱：ceto@cet.energy。